I also found that FP1 install fails as well - same symptoms...
Started searching the forum again, found a reference to a file named 'jvmpatcher.log' - so, I started the FP2 install again, as soon as the install fails - I opened the 'jvmpatcher.log ' - there are no error messages, but there is no completion message, either.
The last two lines of the jvmpatcher.log are:
Patching file: lib\sound.properties
Zip patching file: lib\tools.jar
When I look in the 'Program Files\IBM\Notes\jvm\lib' directory, I find a 0 byte 'tools.jar' file with today's date. It appears this is where the FP2 install is bombing out.
When I compare this directory with the 'Program Files\IBM\Notes\jvm\lib' directory on my machine, I have 46 items, the failing machine has 38.
In case it helps.