Not sure why the good old xcopy was not appropriate anymore but if the jvm folder is not exactly like it expects it to be, it will bomb and it will not create a jvm_dst folder.
What I do is before I launch FP1 setup I overwrite the jvm folder with one that I know works (for example clean install from Scratch of Notes 9.0).
You can see the jvmpatcher.log files in the Notes directory and where it bombs.